Early/Mid 2012 statewide opinion polling for the 2012 United States presidential election
Open-knowledge reference entry

Statewide polls for the 2012 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from January 1 to August 31, 2012, and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against incumbent President Barack Obama.
Note that some states had not conducted polling yet or no updated polls were present from January 1 to August 31, 2012.
Alabama
9 electoral votes(Republican in 2004) 62%–38% (Republican in 2008) 60%–38%
Arizona
11 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 55%–44% (Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
Three way race
Arkansas
6 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 54%–45% (Republican in 2008) 59%–39%
California
55 electoral votes(Democratic in 2004) 54%–45% (Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%
Colorado
9 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 52%–47% (Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
Three way race
Connecticut
7 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 54%–44% (Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%
Florida
29 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 52%–47% (Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%
Three way race
Georgia
16 electoral votes(Republican in 2004) 58%–41% (Republican in 2008) 52%–47%
Illinois
20 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 55%–45% (Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%
Indiana
11 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 60%–39% (Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
Iowa
6 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 50%–49% (Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
Maine
4 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 53%–45% (Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%
Maryland
10 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 56%–43% (Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%
Massachusetts
11 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 62%–37% (Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%
Four Way race
Michigan
16 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 51%–48% (Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%
Minnesota
10 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 51%–48% (Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
Missouri
10 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 53%–46% (Republican in 2008) 49%–49%
Three way race
Montana
3 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 59%–39% (Republican in 2008) 49%–47%
Three way race
Nebraska
5 electoral votes(Republican in 2004) 66%–33% (Republican in 2008) 57%–42%
Second congressional district
Nevada
6 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 51%–48% (Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%
Three-way race
New Hampshire
4 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 50%–49% (Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%
Three way race
New Jersey
14 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 52%–46% (Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
New Mexico
5 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 50%–49% (Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%
Three way race
New York
29 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 58%–40% (Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%
North Carolina
15 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 56%–44% (Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%
Three way race
North Dakota
3 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 63%–36% (Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
Ohio
18 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 51%–49% (Democratic in 2008) 52%–47%
Oklahoma
7 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 65.6%–34.4% (Republican in 2008) 65.7%–34.4%
Oregon
7 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 51%–47% (Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%
Pennsylvania
20 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 51%–48% (Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%
South Carolina
9 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 58%–41% (Republican in 2008) 54%–45%
South Dakota
3 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 60%–38% (Republican in 2008) 53%–45%
Tennessee
11 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 57%–43% (Republican in 2008) 57%–42%
Texas
38 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 61%–38% (Republican in 2008) 55%–44%
Three way race
– Ron Paul was running as a Republican candidate.
This brief starts where responsible research should: with the source description of “Early/Mid 2012 statewide opinion polling for the 2012 United States presidential election” as open-knowledge reference entry. Everything that follows is an evidence route, not borrowed authority.
Why this record matters
The subject matters to the general reference register because the source frames it as open-knowledge reference entry. Its deeper value depends on whether names, dates, institutions and citations support that framing.
The citation trail is more important than the brevity of the summary: it shows where individual claims can be examined in context. The source revision retrieved here is dated Jul 21, 2025. The linked authority identifier is Q5326567. None of the 0 selected statements returned an explicit reference. The first chronological checks are 2012, 2004 and 2008.
Overview language is designed for orientation and should not be treated as a substitute for the evidence cited beneath it. The lead is largely declarative, so disagreement and counter-evidence require a deliberate search beyond the opening account. Authority statements aid reconciliation but still require their own references, qualifiers and ranks to be checked.
How to read it
Use the entry as an orientation point, then follow its citations and revision history. Names, dates and institutional relationships should be checked against the original record.
- Subject orientation
- Search vocabulary
- Locating named sources
The closest primary source, responsible institution and strongest cited specialist reference.
Three-step research path
- Establish the record: confirm the title “Early/Mid 2012 statewide opinion polling for the 2012 United States presidential election”, its source revision and the description used here.
- Expand the search: follow Early/Mid 2012 statewide opinion polling for the 2012 United States presidential election primary sources, Early/Mid 2012 statewide opinion polling for the 2012 United States presidential election archive and Early research across catalogues and specialist indexes.
- Test the account: compare the strongest cited source with the responsible institution’s current record and note any disagreement.
Questions for further research
- Which source most directly establishes the central claim about “Early/Mid 2012 statewide opinion polling for the 2012 United States presidential election”?
- Which cited source is closest to the event, object or claim?
- What terminology or title could unlock a more precise catalogue search?
Search terms from this dossier
This entry incorporates text from “Early/Mid 2012 statewide opinion polling for the 2012 United States presidential election” on English Wikipedia. Contributors are listed in the page history. Text is available under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 License. Selected authority identifiers and statements are retrieved from Wikidata under CC0; their references and qualifiers remain part of the verification path.