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Early/Mid 2012 statewide opinion polling for the 2012 United States presidential election

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Record originEnglish Wikipedia
Text licenseCC BY-SA 4.0
Source revisionJul 21, 2025
Entity authorityQ5326567 ↗
Source-derived summary

Statewide polls for the 2012 United States presidential election are as follows. The polls listed here, by state, are from January 1 to August 31, 2012, and provide early data on opinion polling between a possible Republican candidate against incumbent President Barack Obama.

Note that some states had not conducted polling yet or no updated polls were present from January 1 to August 31, 2012.

Alabama

9 electoral votes(Republican in 2004) 62%–38% (Republican in 2008) 60%–38%

Arizona

11 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 55%–44% (Republican in 2008) 53%–45%

Three way race

Arkansas

6 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 54%–45% (Republican in 2008) 59%–39%

California

55 electoral votes(Democratic in 2004) 54%–45% (Democratic in 2008) 61%–37%

Colorado

9 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 52%–47% (Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%

Three way race

Connecticut

7 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 54%–44% (Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%

Florida

29 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 52%–47% (Democratic in 2008) 51%–48%

Three way race

Georgia

16 electoral votes(Republican in 2004) 58%–41% (Republican in 2008) 52%–47%

Illinois

20 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 55%–45% (Democratic in 2008) 62%–37%

Indiana

11 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 60%–39% (Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%

Iowa

6 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 50%–49% (Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%

Maine

4 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 53%–45% (Democratic in 2008) 58%–40%

Maryland

10 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 56%–43% (Democratic in 2008) 61%–38%

Massachusetts

11 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 62%–37% (Democratic in 2008) 62%–36%

Four Way race

Michigan

16 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 51%–48% (Democratic in 2008) 57%–41%

Minnesota

10 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 51%–48% (Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%

Missouri

10 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 53%–46% (Republican in 2008) 49%–49%

Three way race

Montana

3 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 59%–39% (Republican in 2008) 49%–47%

Three way race

Nebraska

5 electoral votes(Republican in 2004) 66%–33% (Republican in 2008) 57%–42%

Second congressional district

Nevada

6 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 51%–48% (Democratic in 2008) 55%–43%

Three-way race

New Hampshire

4 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 50%–49% (Democratic in 2008) 54%–45%

Three way race

New Jersey

14 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 52%–46% (Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%

New Mexico

5 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 50%–49% (Democratic in 2008) 57%–42%

Three way race

New York

29 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 58%–40% (Democratic in 2008) 63%–36%

North Carolina

15 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 56%–44% (Democratic in 2008) 50%–49%

Three way race

North Dakota

3 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 63%–36% (Republican in 2008) 53%–45%

Ohio

18 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 51%–49% (Democratic in 2008) 52%–47%

Oklahoma

7 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 65.6%–34.4% (Republican in 2008) 65.7%–34.4%

Oregon

7 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 51%–47% (Democratic in 2008) 57%–40%

Pennsylvania

20 electoral votes (Democratic in 2004) 51%–48% (Democratic in 2008) 54%–44%

South Carolina

9 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 58%–41% (Republican in 2008) 54%–45%

South Dakota

3 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 60%–38% (Republican in 2008) 53%–45%

Tennessee

11 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 57%–43% (Republican in 2008) 57%–42%

Texas

38 electoral votes (Republican in 2004) 61%–38% (Republican in 2008) 55%–44%

Three way race

– Ron Paul was running as a Republican candidate.

Editorial summary

This brief starts where responsible research should: with the source description of “Early/Mid 2012 statewide opinion polling for the 2012 United States presidential election” as open-knowledge reference entry. Everything that follows is an evidence route, not borrowed authority.

Editorial reviewA concise reference frame for defining the subject, testing terminology and identifying the institution closest to the evidence. The current lead gives the account dated anchors—2012, 2004, 2008—that can be checked directly. The selected authority fields contribute no independent date. The account is most persuasive where Early, statewide and opinion can be independently traced.
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This entry incorporates text from “Early/Mid 2012 statewide opinion polling for the 2012 United States presidential election” on English Wikipedia. Contributors are listed in the page history. Text is available under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 License. Selected authority identifiers and statements are retrieved from Wikidata under CC0; their references and qualifiers remain part of the verification path.